Syria Data Update (May 12-19, 2026)

4 new datasets for subscribers // Syria achieves most stable week in 15yrs, amid major escalation in Israeli military operations.

Dear subscribers — I’m excited to introduce 4 new datasets to the regular weekly data updates. This makes for a total of 11 exclusive and comprehensive datasets available for all paid subscribers:

1. NEW: Government Captagon Seizures

2. NEW: Internal Suwayda [In-]Stability (incidents, casualties)

3. NEW: Jordanian Military Action - Drug Interceptions & Airstrikes

4. NEW: Lebanon-linked Captagon Seizures in Syria

5. Violent deaths in Syria (by governorate & overall)

6. Israeli military actions in Syria (ground incursions, air/artillery strikes, arrests)

7. ISIS attacks (2023-present)

8. Anti-government insurgency (by governorate & overall)

9. Vigilantism

10. Unexploded ordnance; UXO (by governorate & overall)

11. Kidnappings (by governorate & overall)

Syria just achieved its most stable week in 15 years, with a total of 6 violent deaths confirmed nationwide, 3 (50%) of which were caused by unexploded ordnance (UXO). Until this past week, the previous record low for overall violence had been set the previous week (May 5-12, 2026), when a total of 9 deaths were recorded across Syria.

As noted previously, the incidence of direct (i.e. non-UXO) violence in Syria has also been on a sustained record low since early-March 2026, with all records from the past 15 years recorded in the last 10 weeks:

• 2 deaths (March 24-31)

• 3 deaths (April 14-21, May 12-19)

• 5 deaths (April 21-28)

• 6 deaths (March 3-10, April 7-14)

• 7 deaths (March 10-17, March 31-April 7 and May 7-12)

• 8 deaths (March 17-24)

Looking more closely at all the datasets and security developments in Syria from the past week, three areas of significant analytical insight are worth highlighting: